Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1459 LANDED 5:35 AM CT, ~27 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

UA 1459 · POS → IAH

took off · landed 5:35 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 21h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at POS

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

POS (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

IAH (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1459 · POS → IAH

Odds over time