Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1469 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 1469 · IAH → CHS

departs 6:37 PM CT · arrives 10:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CHS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.15 in

CHS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.70 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1469 · IAH → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?