Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1469 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

UA 1469 · IAH → CHS

departs 6:37 PM CT · arrives 10:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 53h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CHS that day

↓ CHS usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

CHS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.68 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1469 · IAH → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?