Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1742 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

UA 1742 · SMF → IAD

departs 8:09 AM PT · arrives 4:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
10% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 4.5d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    89%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.