Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1864SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
UA 1864 · MIA → EWR
departs 7:07 AM ET · arrives 10:11 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
8%chance · ±1 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.