Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1992 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

UA 1992 · EWR → IAD

departs 3:08 PM ET · arrives 4:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1992 · EWR → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?