Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1992 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

UA 1992 · EWR → IAD

departs 3:08 PM ET · arrives 4:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

IAD (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1992 · EWR → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?