Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2105 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

UA 2105 · MSY → IAH

departs 9:53 AM CT · arrives 11:12 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.6 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ IAH is prone to delays

↓ 9am departures from MSY are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.63 in

IAH (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2105 · MSY → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?