Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2206SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 2206 · IAD → MCO
departs 12:35 PM ET · arrives 2:58 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±6 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.