UA 2787 · IAH → DEN

took off 10:45 AM CT · landed 11:40 AM MT (scheduled 10:37 AM CT → 12:13 PM MT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

DEN (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2787 · IAH → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?