UA 2787 · IAH → DEN

took off 10:46 AM CT · expected to land 12:02 PM MT (scheduled 10:30 AM CT → 11:54 AM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
46%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2787 · IAH → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?