UA 2787 · IAH → DEN

departs 10:41 AM CT · arrives 12:19 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2787 · IAH → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?