Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 283 LANDED 8:51 AM CT, ~30 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

UA 283 · EWR → MSP

took off 7:14 AM ET · landed 8:51 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MSP (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 283 · EWR → MSP

Odds over time