tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2840 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 2840 · LAS → IAH

departs 12:59 AM PT · arrives 5:59 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 4.2d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    87%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.