Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2861 LANDED 2:29 PM ET, ~35 MIN EARLY
Yesterday

UA 2861 · SFO → IAD

took off 6:53 AM PT · landed 2:29 PM ET (scheduled 6:45 AM PT → 3:09 PM ET)
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 13h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to IAD?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.