tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 470 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 470 · MIA → IAH

departs 12:29 PM ET · arrives 2:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
24% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.6d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.