Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 561SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 561 · ORD → MCI
departs 12:40 PM CT · arrives 2:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
12%chance · ±1 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.