Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1045 LANDED 8:16 AM PT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

WN 1045 · BWI → LAX

took off 6:23 AM ET · landed 8:16 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.09 in

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1045 · BWI → LAX

Odds over time