WN 113 · DAL → DCA

departs 12:02 PM CT · arrives 4:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DCA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.33 in

DCA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.43 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 113 · DAL → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?