Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1184
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 1184 · CMH → DAL
departs 3:10 PM ET · arrives 4:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 66%
Fri 10/2 58%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.