Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1184
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 1184 · CMH → DAL
departs 6:30 PM ET · arrives 7:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CMH (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.