Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1268
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 1268 · DCA → DAL
departs 6:55 AM ET · arrives 9:00 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Fri 10/2 9%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
4.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from DCA are usually not late
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.