Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1281
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 1281 · DAL → BWI
departs 7:25 AM CT · arrives 11:25 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/1 30%
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.35 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.