Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1317
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 1317 · DAL → JAX
departs 3:20 PM CT · arrives 6:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 66%
Fri 10/2 60%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
This flight has been late 44% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.32 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.