Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1425
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 1425 · DCA → BNA
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 6:50 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 70h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 4%
Thu 10/1 6%
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 3%
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
4.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi forecast at BNA that day
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 16% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.