WN 1448 · MIA → DAL

took off 3:54 PM ET · expected to land 5:16 PM CT (scheduled 3:03 PM ET → 5:14 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

LIVE

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1448 · MIA → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?