Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1462
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 1462 · DCA → STL
departs 6:35 PM ET · arrives 7:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 27%
Fri 10/9 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at STL
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.28 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.