Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1600
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 1600 · DCA → DAL
departs 6:45 PM ET · arrives 8:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DCA that day
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.84 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.