WN 1747 · DEN → RIC

took off 1:00 PM MT · landed 5:49 PM ET (scheduled 12:31 PM MT → 5:53 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RIC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at RIC that day

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ RIC usually runs smoothly

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RIC (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling360 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1747 · DEN → RIC

Odds over time

How late did it get to RIC?