Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 194 LANDED 9:46 AM CT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

WN 194 · STL → MSP

took off 8:38 AM CT · landed 9:46 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at MSP that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 194 · STL → MSP

Odds over time