Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 196
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 196 · ATL → DAL
departs 7:10 PM ET · arrives 8:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 51%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
7pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.12 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.