Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 196
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 196 · ATL → DAL
departs 9:25 PM ET · arrives 10:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3 39%
Sun 10/4
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at ATL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.09 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.