Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 246
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 246 · BWI → CLT
departs 10:50 AM ET · arrives 12:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±2 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
BWI is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↓
10am departures from BWI are usually not late
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.