Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 246
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 246 · CLT → BNA
departs 1:00 PM ET · arrives 1:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
1pm departures from CLT are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.54 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.