WN 2558 · MSP → STL

took off 2:40 PM CT · landed 3:46 PM CT (scheduled 2:31 PM CT → 4:09 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to STL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2558 · MSP → STL

Odds over time

How late did it get to STL?