Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2699
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 2699 · DAL → DCA
departs 5:00 PM CT · arrives 8:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DCA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.32 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.