WN 2763 · MCO → MSY

took off 3:30 PM ET · landed 3:56 PM CT (scheduled 2:10 PM ET → 3:14 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSY?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, 0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day

↑ 2pm departures from MCO are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.90 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2763 · MCO → MSY

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSY?