WN 2763 · MCO → MSY

departs 2:00 PM ET · arrives 3:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ 2pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

MSY (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling667 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2763 · MCO → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?