Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2930
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 2930 · MIA → MDW
departs 3:35 PM ET · arrives 5:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 71%
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 34%
Wed 10/7 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.