Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 296
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 296 · DCA → STL
departs 8:00 AM ET · arrives 9:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8am departures from DCA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
DCA is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into STL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.21 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.