Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2982
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 2982 · BNA → VPS
departs 7:35 PM CT · arrives 9:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 20%
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day
↑
7pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
VPS (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,820 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.51 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.