Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2982
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 2982 · BNA → VPS
departs 7:40 PM CT · arrives 9:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at VPS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to VPS?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.13 in
VPS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.75 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.