Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3020 LANDED 7:04 AM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

WN 3020 · MEM → MDW

took off 5:54 AM CT · landed 7:04 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at MEM that day

↑ MDW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from MEM are usually not late

Weather at each end

MEM (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.01 in

MDW (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3020 · MEM → MDW

Odds over time