WN 3020 · MEM → MDW

departs 5:12 AM CT · arrives 6:55 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ MEM is prone to delays

↑ MDW is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from MEM are usually not late

Weather at each end

MEM (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

MDW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3020 · MEM → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?