Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3023
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 3023 · TPA → IND
departs 8:40 PM ET · arrives 11:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 17%
Fri 10/9 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
TPA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.