Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3023
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 3023 · TPA → IND
departs 9:50 PM ET · arrives 12:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 28%
Fri 10/9 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from TPA are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.