Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3058
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
WN 3058 · OAK → LIH
departs 1:45 PM PT · arrives 4:10 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 24%
Fri 10/9 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
41%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LIH is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from OAK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.