Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3058
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 3058 · OAK → LIH
departs 1:45 PM PT · arrives 4:10 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 26%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
OAK is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.