Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3058
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
WN 3058 · OAK → LIH
departs 1:45 PM PT · arrives 4:10 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 25%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 27%
Fri 10/9 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 29% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at LIH that day
↑
1pm departures from OAK are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at OAK that day
↓
LIH is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.61 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.