Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3101
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
WN 3101 · OGG → LIH
departs 1:55 PM HT · arrives 2:50 PM HT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Fri 10/2 19%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LIH is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LIH that day
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 10,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.